5e atelier WGNE sur les erreurs systématiques des modèles météorologiques et climatiques
19 au 23 juin 2017, Montréal, Québec, Canada
Programme de l'atelier
Vous pouvez télécharger le programme de l'atelier en format pdf, ainsi que la liste des affiches en format pdf également. Le détail est donné ci-dessous, par jour, avec un lien vers le résumé de chacun des présentations. Pour obtenir les résumés des affiches, consultez la page: Affiches.
Nous utilisons un code de couleur pour chaque thème afin d'identifier les présentations et la session d'affiches correspondantes.
Veuillez noter que toutes les affiches peuvent rester exposées de façon permanente du lundi au jeudi.
Lundi 19 juin 2017
| 08h | Inscription | |
| 09h | Introduction de l'atelier: Keith Williams and Ayrton Zadra (WGNE co-chairs) Michel Rixen (WCRP Senior Scientific Officer) Gilbert Brunet (Director of the Meteorological Research Division of ECCC) Alain Bourque (Ouranos Executive Director) Ariane Frassoni: Information about ECS activities |
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| Nuages et précipitation Président : Keith Williams ; Rapporteur : Ángel F. Adames-Corraliza (matin) Président : Bill Merryfield ; Rapporteur : Yi Huang (après-midi) |
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| 10:00 | David Neelin | Convective transition statistics for climate model diagnostics (abstract | talk) |
| 10:45 | Stephen Klein | Climate Modeling Challenges Related to Global Cloud Feedbacks (abstract | talk) |
| 11h30 | Pause avec rafraîchissements | |
| 11:50 | Jon Petch | Global Atmospheric System Studies (abstract | talk) |
| 12:10 | Tara Jensen | Use of New Analyses and Methods for Evaluation of Cloud Predictions (abstract | talk) |
| 12h30 | Pause pour le dîner* et mise en place des affiches | |
| 14:30 | Masashi Ujiie | Recent activities for fixing compensating errors in parametrisation schemes of the JMA operational global model (abstract | talk) |
| 15:15 | Hyemi Kim | The impact of the systematic mean bias on MJO propagation and prediction in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system (abstract | talk) |
| 15:35 | Kwinten Van Weverberg | Attribution of surface radiation errors near the Southern Great Plains in numerical weather prediction and climate models (abstract | talk) |
| 15h55 | Pause avec rafraîchissements | |
| 16:15 | James Booth | Clouds And Precipitation In General Circulation Model Extratropical Cyclones: An Analysis Based On Cyclone-Centered Metrics (abstract | talk) |
| 16:35 | Yi Huang | Evaluation of Wintertime Precipitation Forecasts over the Snowy Mountains in a Regional Forecast Model using High-density Ground-based Observations (abstract | talk) |
| 16:55 | Jason Dodson | Characterizing the joint convective and radiative diurnal cycles in Amazonia for multiple successive general circulation and reanalysis models (abstract | talk) |
| 17h15 | Conclusion | |
| 17h35 | Session d'affiches: Nuages et précipitation | |
| 18h | Cocktail de réseautage | |
Mardi 20 juin 2017
| Problèmes de résolution Président : Nils Wedi ; Rapporteur : Falko Judt |
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| 09:00 | Christoph Schär | Towards Convection-Resolution Climate Modeling (abstract | talk) |
| 09:45 | Prashant Sardeshmukh | Is ultra-high model resolution necessary to improve probabilistic predictions? (abstract | talk) |
| 10h30 | Pause avec rafraîchissements | |
| 10:50 | Mike Bush | Biases in the representation of convection in convective-permitting versions of the Unified Model (abstract | talk) |
| 11:10 | Joseph Olson | Scale-Dependent Systematic Errors in High-Resolution RAP/HRRR Physics Over Complex Terrain (abstract | talk) |
| 11:30 | Thomas Rackow | Sensitivity of North Atlantic deep ocean biases to increasing ocean resolution in a hierarchy of prototype CMIP6 simulations (abstract | talk) |
| 11h50 | Conclusion | |
| 12h10 | Pause pour le dîner* + Session d'affiches: Problèmes de résolution | |
| 12h10 | Pause pour le dîner* + Session d'affiches: Interactions atmosphère-terre-océan-cryosphère | |
| 14h | Introduction de l'atelier (suite) : David Grimes (WMO President) | |
| Interactions atmosphère-terre-océan-cryosphère Président : Francois Bouyssel ; Rapporteur : Annelize van Niekerk |
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| 14:10 | Irina Sandu | How uncertainties in surface drag impact the large-scale circulation (abstract | talk) |
| 14:55 | Andrew Elvidge | Constraining the source of significant variation in orographic drag representation in NWP and climate models: a model intercomparison of mean and subgrid orographic fields (abstract | talk) |
| 15:15 | Jenny Lindvall | Wind turning in the boundary layer - observations, reanalysis and CMIP5 models (abstract | talk) |
| 15h35 | Pause avec rafraîchissements | |
| 15:55 | Graham Weedon | Evaluating and benchmarking land surface models (abstract | talk) |
| 16:15 | Glenn White | Reducing systematic errors in GFS sensible weather forecasts (abstract | talk) |
| 16:35 | Mat Collins | Causes and Interrelationships Between Errors in Climate Models: The Double ITCZ Bias (abstract | talk) |
| 16h55 | Session d'affiches : Problèmes de résolution | |
| 16h55 | Session d'affiches : Interactions atmosphère-terre-océan-cryosphère | |
Mercredi 21 juin 2017
| Interactions atmosphère-terre-océan-cryosphère Président : Mike Ek ; Rapporteur : Ariane Frassoni |
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| 09:00 | Gianpaolo Balsamo | Representing Earth Surface Processes and Uncertainties in Global Forecasting: which way to errors' reduction? (abstract | talk) |
| 09:45 | Frédéric Hourdin | Reduction of systematic errors in climate models: model improvement versus tuning of free parameters (abstract | talk) |
| 10:05 | Alexis Berg | Investigating soil moisture-evapotranspiration coupling in CMIP5 models (abstract | talk) |
| 10h25 | Conclusion | |
| 10h45 | Pause avec rafraîchissements | |
| Erreur modèle dans les simulations/prévisions ensemblistes Président : Kazuo Saito ; Rapporteur : Yi Huang (matin) Président : Judith Berner ; Rapporteur : Hannah Christensen (après-midi) |
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| 11:05 | Mark Rodwell | Improving flow-dependent reliability - a route to more useful ensemble forecasts (abstract | talk) |
| 11:50 | Tim Palmer | Systematic Bias in the Magnitude of Ensemble Spread? (abstract | talk) |
| 12:10 | Hannah Christensen | Stochastic parametrisations: reducing model error in the Community Earth System Model (abstract | talk) |
| 12h30 | Pause pour le dîner* + Session d'affiches: Erreur modèle dans les simulations/prévisions ensemblistes | |
| 14:30 | Emilia Sanchez-Gomez | Model drift analysis to understand the causes of systematic errors in climate prediction systems (abstract | talk) |
| 15:15 | Matthew Newman | Are we near the limit of tropical SST predictability? (abstract | talk) |
| 15h35 | Pause avec rafraîchissements | |
| 15:55 | Eleftheria Exarchou | Sources of EC-Earth bias in the Tropical Atlantic (abstract | talk) |
| 16:15 | Antje Weisheimer | Impact of stochastic atmospheric physics in ECMWF's monthly forecasting system (abstract | talk) |
| 16:35 | Leo Separovic | Application of a Stochastic Parameterisation of Deep Convection in a Regional Ensemble Prediction System (abstract | talk) |
| 16h55 | Conclusion | |
| 17h15 | Session d'affiches : Erreur modèle dans les simulations/prévisions ensemblistes | |
Jeudi 22 juin 2017
| Métriques et diagnostics Président : Eric Maloney ; Rapporteur : Hannah Christensen (matin) Président : Barbara Casati ; Rapporteur : Nadir Jeevanjee (après-midi) |
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| 09:00 | Peter Gleckler | Systematic errors across space and time scales and their relevance to future projections of climate change. (abstract | talk) |
| 09:45 | Sulagna Ray | Heat Budget Diagnosis of the Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue in the GFDL FLOR Global Coupled GCM (abstract | talk) |
| 10:05 | Andrew Wittenberg | Tropical Pacific climate and ENSO: Understanding model biases through flux adjustment (abstract | talk) |
| 10h25 | Pause avec rafraîchissements | |
| 10:45 | H Annamalai | Development of processes oriented metrics for ENSO-related Precipitation anomalies along the equatorial Pacific in climate models (abstract | talk) |
| 11:05 | Kentaroh Suzuki | Process-oriented evaluation of warm rain process in global models with satellite observations (abstract | talk) |
| 11:25 | Dan Barrie | Model Diagnostic Task Force Efforts to Advance Process-Oriented Model Evaluation (abstract | talk) |
| 11:45 | Christina Kalb | Verifying the Representation of Regional Climate Variability in a GCM using Object-based Methods (abstract | talk) |
| 12h05 | Pause pour le dîner* + Session d'affiches: Métriques et diagnostics | |
| 12h05 | Pause pour le dîner* + Session d'affiches: Téléconnexions | |
| 14:05 | Marion Mittermaier | Ensemble versus deterministic performance at km-scale (abstract | talk) |
| 14:50 | Jiwoo Lee | New Approach to Quantify How Well Climate Models Simulate Extratropical Modes of Interannual Variability (abstract | talk) |
| 15h10 | Pause avec rafraîchissements | |
| 15:30 | Junhong Wang | Diurnal Metrics for Evaluating GFDL and Other Climate Models (abstract | talk) |
| 15:50 | Xiaobiao Xu | How well do the climate models (CMIP5) represent the water properties of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation? (abstract | talk) |
| 16h10 | Conclusion | |
| 16h30 | Session d'affiches : Métriques et diagnostics | |
| 16h30 | Session d'affiches : Téléconnexions | |
Vendredi 23 juin 2017
| Téléconnexions Président : Hai Lin ; Rapporteur : Priyanka Yadav |
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| 09:00 | John Fyfe | Links between low, mid, and high latitudes (abstract | talk) |
| 09:45 | David Straus | Understanding Tropical – Extratropical Interactions and the MJO (abstract | talk) |
| 10h30 | Pause avec rafraîchissements | |
| 10:50 | Cristiana Stan | Activities surrounding the Year of Tropics-Midlatitude Interactions and Teleconnections (abstract | talk) |
| 11:10 | Franco Molteni | Impact of model resolution on MJO teleconnections and blocking properties in sub-seasonal predictions with the ECMWF coupled model (abstract | talk) |
| 11h30 | Conclusion | |
| 11h50 | Table ronde et conclusion de l'atelier | |
| 12h50 | Pause pour le dîner* | |
| 13h50 | Possibilité de rencontres en privé | |
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