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Severe Weather 2010-2015

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Published papers - 2015

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Abaza, M., F. Anctil, V. Fortin, and R. Turcotte, 2015: Exploration of sequential streamflow assimilation in snow dominated watersheds. Advances in Water Resources, 86: 414-424.    
Anderson, G., J. Carson, J. Clements, G. Fleming, T. Frei, H. Kootval, D. Kull, J. Lazo, D. Letson, B. Mills, A. Perrels, C. Vaughan, and J. Zillman, 2015: Valuing Weather and Climate: Economic Assessment of Meteorological and Hydrological Services. World Meteorological Organization. World Meteorological Organization, The World Bank, and Climate Services Partnership. Geneva. WMO No. 1153.    
Aparicio, J.M., and S. Laroche, 2015: Estimation of the Added Value of the Absolute Calibration of GPS Radio Occultation Data for Numerical Weather Prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 1259-1274.    
Balmaseda M.A, F. Hernandez, A. Storto, M.D. Palmer, O. Alves, L. Shi, G.C. Smith, T. Toyoda, M. Valdivieso, B. Barnier, D. Behringer, T. Boyer, Y-S. Chang, G.A. Chepurin, N. Ferry, G. Forget, Y. Fujii, S. Good, S. Guinehut, K. Haines, Y. Ishikawa, S. Keeley, A. Kohl. T. Lee, M. Martin, S. Masina, S. Masuda, B. Meyssignac, K. Mogensen, L. Parent, K. A. Peterson, Y. M. Tang, Y. Yin, G. Vernieres, X. Wang, J. Waters, R. Wedd , O. Wang, Y. Xue, M. Chevallier, J-F. Lemieux, F. Dupont, T. Kuragano, M. Kamachi, T. Awaji, A. Caltabiano, K. Wilmer-Becker, F. Gaillard, 2015: The Ocean Reanalyses Intercomparison Project (ORA-IP) Journal of Operational Oceanography, 8:sup1, s80-s97, DOI: 10.1080/1755876X.2015.1022329    
Bauer, P., A. Thorpe, G. Brunet, 2015: The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction. Nature 525, 47-55, doi:10.1038/nature14956    
Bedard, J., S.Laroche, and P.Gauthier, 2015: A Geo-Statistical Observation Operator for the Assimilation of Near-Surface Wind Data. Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc. 141: 2857-2868,DOI:10.1002/qj.2569    
Bernier, N.B., and K.R. Thompson, 2015: Deterministic and ensemble storm surge prediction for Atlantic Canada with lead times of hours to ten days. Ocean Modelling, 86, 114-127.    
Brunet, G., S. Jones, and B. Mills, 2015: Chapter 1: INTRODUCTION In [WMO 2015] Brunet, G., S. Jones, and P.M. Ruti (eds.), Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: From Minutes to Months. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva. WMO No. 1156, pp 1-13.    
Buehner, M., R. McTaggart-Cowan, A. Beaulne, C. Charette, L. Garand, S. Heilliette, E. Lapalme, S. Laroche, S. R. Macpherson, J. Morneau, and A. Zadra, 2015: Implementation of Deterministic Weather Forecasting Systems based on Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation at Environment Canada. Part I: The Global System Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 2532-2559. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00354.1    
Buehner, M., R. Gelaro, O. Alves, D. Dee, E. Kalnay, P. J. van Leeuwen, A. Lorenc, T. Miyoshi, R. Saunders, and A. Schiller, 2015: Chapter 3: DATA ASSIMILATION METHODS AND APPLICATIONS In [WMO 2015] Brunet, G., S. Jones, and P.M. Ruti (eds.), Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: From Minutes to Months. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva. WMO No. 1156, pp 37-60.    
Buehner, M., and A. Shlyaeva, 2015: Scale-dependent background-error covariance localization Tellus A 2015, 67, 28027, http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v67.28027    
Caron, J.-F., T. Milewski, M. Buehner, L. Fillion, M. Reszka, S. Macpherson, and J. St-James, 2015: Implementation of Deterministic Weather Forecasting Systems based on Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation at Environment Canada. Part II: The Regional System Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 2560-2580. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00353.1    
Carrera, M., S.Belair, and B.Bilodeau, 2015: The Canadian Land Data Assimilation System (CaLDAS) : Description and Synthetic Evaluation Study. J. Hydrometeor, 16, 1293-1314. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0089.1    
Charron, M., and A.Zadra, 2015: Covariant equations for geophysical fluids with an asymmetric gravitational potential and their hydrostatic limit. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 141: 1473-1478. doi:10.1002/qj.2435    
Charron, M., A. Zadra, and C. Girard, 2015: Dynamical consistency and covariance: Reply to Staniforth and White. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 141: 3431-3433. doi:10.1002/qj.2666    
Cote, J., C.Jablonowski, P.Bauer, and N.Wedi, 2015: Chapter 6: NUMERICAL METHODS OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND OCEAN In [WMO 2015] Brunet, G., S. Jones, and P.M. Ruti (eds.), Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: From Minutes to Months. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva. WMO No. 1156, pp 101-124    
Dawson, D.T., M. Xue, J. A. Milbrandt, and A. Shapiro, 2015: Sensitivity of Real-data Simulations of the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City Tornadic Supercell and Associated Tornadoes to Multi-moment Microphysics. Part I: Storm- and Tornado-scale Numerical Forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 2241-2265. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00279.1    
Dupont, F., S. Higginson, R. Bourdalle-Badie, Y. Lu, F. Roy, G. C. Smith, J.-F. Lemieux, G. Garric, and F. Davidson, 2015: A high-resolution ocean and sea-ice modelling system for the Arctic and North Atlantic oceans. Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 1577-1594, 2015 www.geosci-model-dev.net/8/1577/2015/ doi:10.5194/gmd-8-1577-2015    
Dutta, S.K., L. Garand, and S. Heilliette, 2015: Impact Evaluation of Assimilating Surface Sensitive Infrared Radiance Observations over Land and Sea Ice from Observing System Simulation Experiments. Advances in Meteorology, Article ID 847561, 9 pages, http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/847561    
Fujii,Y., J. Cummings, Y. Xue, A. Schiller, T. Lee, M. A. Balmaseda, E. Remy, S. Masuda, G. Brassington, O. Alves, B. Cornuelle, M. Martin, P. Oke, G. Smith, X. Yang, 2015: Evaluation of the Tropical Pacific Observing System from the Ocean Data Assimilation Perspective. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 141: 2481-2496. doi: 10.1002/qj.2579    
Fortin, V., M.Jean, R.Brown, and S.Payette, 2015: Predicting Snow Depth in a Forest-Tundra Landscape using a Conceptual Model Allowing for Snow Redistribution and Constrained by Observations from a Digital Camera. Atmosphere-Ocean, 53:2, 200-211, DOI: 10.1080/07055900.2015.1022708    
Fortin, V., G. Roy, N. Donaldson, and A. Mahidjiba, 2015: Assimilation of radar quantitative precipitation estimations in the Canadian Precipitation Analysis (CaPA). Journal of Hydrology, 531(2): 296-307.    
Galarneau T.J., Jr., R. McTaggart-Cowan, L. F. Bosart, C. A. Davis, 2015: Development of North Atlantic Tropical Disturbances near Upper-Level Potential Vorticity Streamers. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 72, 2, 572-597.    
Gong, W., P.A. Makar, J. Zhang, J. Milbrandt, S. Gravel, K.L. Hayden, A.M. Macdonald, and W.R. Leaitch, 2015: Modelling aerosol-cloud-meteorology interaction: A case study with a fully coupled air quality model (GEM-MACH). Atmospheric Environment, 115, 695-715.    
Gultepe, I., B. Zhou, J. Milbrandt, A. Bott, Y. Li, A.J. Heymsfield, B. Ferrier, R. Ware, M. Pavolonis, T. Kuhn, J. Gurka, P. Liu, J. Cermak, 2015: A review on ice fog measurements and modeling. Atmospheric Research, 151, 2-19.    
Jia, X., S. Wang, H. Lin, and Q. Bao, 2015: A connection between the tropical Pacific Ocean and the winter climate in the Asian-Pacific region. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, 430-448, doi:10.1002/2014JD022324.    
Jia, X., H. Lin, and J. Ge, 2015: The interdecadal change of ENSO impact on wintertime East Asian climate. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, 11,918-11,935, doi:10.1002/2015JD023583.    
Jiang, X.,D. E. Waliser, P. K. Xavier, J. Petch, N. P. Klingaman, S. J. Woolnough, B. Guan, G. Bellon, T. Crueger, C. DeMott, C. Hannay, H. Lin, W. Hu, D. Kim, C.-L. Lappen, M.-M. Lu, H.-Y. Ma, T. Miyakawa, J. A. Ridout, S. D. Schubert, J. Scinocca, K.- H. Seo, E. Shindo, X. Song, C. Stan, W.-L. Tseng, W. Wang, T. Wu, X. Wu, K. Wyser, G. J. Zhang, and H. Zhu, 2015: Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Exploring key model physics in climate simulations. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, 4718-4748. doi:10.1002/2014JD022375    
Jung, T., P. Bauer, H. Goessling, N. Gordon, S. Klebe, D. Bromwich, F. Doblas-Reyes, J. Day, C. Fairall, M. Holland, T. Iversen, P. Lemke, B. Mills, P. Nurmi, D. Perovich, P. Reid, I. Renfrew, G. Smith, G. Svensson and M. Tolstykh, 2015: Chapter 19: The WWRP POLAR PREDICTION PROJECT (PPP) In [WMO 2015] Brunet, G., S. Jones, and P.M. Ruti (eds.), Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: From Minutes to Months. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva. WMO No. 1156, pp 371-384.    
Lemieux, J.F., L.B.Tremblay, F.Dupont, M.Plante, G.Smith, and D.Dumont, 2015: A basal stress parameterization for modeling landfast ice. J.Geophys.Res.Oceans, 120,3157-3173, doi:10.1002/ 2014JC010678.    
Lespinas, F., V. Fortin, G. Roy, P. Rasmussen, and T. Stadnyk, 2015: Performance evaluation of the Canadian Precipitation Analysis. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 2045-2064, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0191.1    
Lewis, H., M. Mittermaier, K. Mylne, K. Norman, A. Scaife, R. Neal, C. Pierce, D. Harrison, S. Jewell, M. Kendon, R. Saunders, G. Brunet, B. Golding, M. Kitchen, P. Davies and C. Pilling, 2015: From months to minutes - exploring the value of high-resolution rainfall observation and prediction during the UK winter storms of 2013/2014. Meteorol. Appl., 22, 90-104.    
Lin, H., G., Brunet and B. Yu, 2015: Interannual variability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its impact on the North Atlantic Oscillation in the boreal winter. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 5571-5576, doi:10.1002/2015GL064547.    
Makar, P.A., W. Gong, J. Milbrandt, C. Hogrefe, Y. Zhang, G. Curci, R. Zabkar, U. Im, A. Balzarini, R. Baro, R. Bianconi, P. Cheung, R. Forkel, S. Gravel, M. Hirtl, L. Honzak, A. Hou, P. Jimenez-Guerrero, M. Langer, M.D. Moran, B. Pabla, et al., 2015: Feedbacks between air pollution and weather, Part 1: Effects on weather. Atmospheric Environment, 115, 442-469.    
Makar, P.A., W. Gong, C. Hogrefe, Y. Zhang, G. Curci, R. Zabkar, J. Milbrandt, U. Im, A. Balzarini, R. Baro, R. Bianconi, P. Cheung, R. Forkel, S. Gravel, M. Hirtl, L. Honzak, A. Hou, P. Jimenez-Guerrero, M. Langer, M.D. Moran, B. Pabla, et al., 2015: Feedbacks between air pollution and weather, part 2: Effects on chemistry. Atmospheric Environment, 115, 499-526.    
Martin, M.J., M. Balmaseda, L. Bertino, P. Brasseur, G. Brassington, J. Cummings, Y. Fujii, D.J. Lea, J.-M. Lellouche, K. Mogensen, P. Oke, G.C. Smith, C.-E. Testut, G.A. Waagbo, J. Waters, A.T. Weaver, 2015: Status and future of data assimilation in operational oceanography. Journal of Operational Oceanography, 8:sup1, s28-s48, DOI: 10.1080/1755876X.2015.1022055    
Marty R., V. Fortin, H. Kuswanto, A.-C. Favre, E. Parent, 2015: Combining the Bayesian Processor of Output with Bayesian Model Averaging for reliable ensemble forecasting. J. R. Stat. Soc. C, 64: 75-92.    
Menard, R., 2015: Error covariance estimation methods based on analysis residuals: Theoretical foundation and convergence properties derived from simplified observation networks. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. doi: 10.1002/qj.2650    
McNairn,H., T.J.Jackson, G.Wiseman, S.Belair, A.Berg, P.Bullock, A.Colliander, M.H.Cosh, S.-B.Kim, R.Magagi, M.Moghaddam, E.G.Njoku, J.R.Adams, S.Homayouni, E.R.Ojo, T.Rowlandson, J.Shang, K.Goita, M.Hosseini, 2015: The Soil Moisture Active Passive Validation Experiment 2012 (SMAPVEX12): Prelaunch Calibration and Validation of the SMAP Soil Moisture Algorithms. Geoscience and Remote Sensing, IEEE Transactions on, 53, 5 DOI: 10.1109/TGRS.2014.2364913, 2784-2801.    
McTaggart-Cowan, R., and A. Zadra, 2015: Representing Richardson Number Hysteresis in the NWP Boundary Layer. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 1232-1258.    
McTaggart-Cowan, R., E.L. Davies, J.G. Fairman Jr., T.J.Galarneau Jr. and D.M. Schultz, 2015: Revisiting the 26.5 C Sea Surface Temperature Threshold for Tropical Cyclone Development. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 1929-1943.    
Morais, A., V.Fortin et F.Anctil, 2015: Modelling of Seasonal Evapotranspiration from an Agricultural Field Using the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS) with a Pedotransfer Rule and Multicriteria Optimization. Atmosphere-Ocean, 53, 2, 161-175, DOI:10.1080/07055900.2014.999745    
Morrison, H., and J.A.Milbrandt, 2015: Parameterization of Cloud Microphysics Based on the Prediction of Bulk Ice Particle Properties. Part I: Scheme Description and Idealized Tests. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 287-311.    
Morrison, H., J.A.Milbrandt, G.H.Bryan, K.Ikeda, S.A.Tessendorf, G.Thompson, 2015: Parameterization of cloud microphysics based on the prediction of bulk ice particle properties. Part 2: Case study comparisons with observations and other schemes. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 312-339.    
Nazari, F., A.Mohammadian, M.Charron, 2015: High-order low-dissipation low-dispersion diagonally implicit Runge-Kutta schemes. Journal of Computational Physics, 286, 38-48.    
Oke P. R., G. Larnicol, Y. Fujii, G. C. Smith, D. J. Lea, S. Guinehut, E. Remy, M. A. Balmaseda, T. Rykova, D. Surcel-Colan, M. J. Martin, A. A. Sellar, S. Mulet, V. Turpin, 2015: Assessing the impact of observations on ocean forecasts and reanalyses: Part 1, Global studies. Journal of Operational Oceanography, 8:sup1, s49-s62, DOI: 10.1080/1755876X.2015.1022067    
Roy, F., M. Chevallier, G. Smith, F. Dupont, G.Garric, J.-F. Lemieux, Y. Lu, and F. Davidson, 2015: Arctic sea ice and freshwater sensitivity to the treatment of the atmosphere-ice-ocean surface layer. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 120, 4392-4417, doi:10.1002/2014JC010677.    
Ryan, A.G., C. Regnier, P. Divakaran, T. Spindler, A. Mehra, G.C. Smith, F. Davidson, F. Hernandez, J. Maksymczuk, and Y. Liu: 2015 GODAE OceanView Class 4 forecast verification framework: global ocean inter-comparison Journal of Operational Oceanography, 8:sup1, s98-s111, DOI: 10.1080/1755876X.2015.1022330    
Schiller A, M.Bell, G.Brassington, P.Brasseur, R.Barciela, P.De Mey, E.Dombrowsky, M.Gehlen, F.Hernandez, , V.Kourafalou, G.Larnicol, P.-Y. Le Traon, M.Martin, P.Oke, G.C. Smith, N. Smith, H. Tolman, K. Wilmer-Becker, 2015: Synthesis of New Scientific Challenges for GODAE Oceanview. Journal of Operational Oceanography, Vol. 8, Iss. sup2, s259-s271.    
Scott, K.A., Z.Ashouri, M.Buehner, L.Pogson, and T.Carrieres, 2015: Assimilation of ice and water observations from SAR imagery to improve estimates of sea ice concentration. Tellus A 2015, 67, 27218, http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v67.27218    
Separovic, L., S. Z. Husain, and W. Yu, 2015: Internal Variability of Fine-Scale Components of Meteorological Fields in Extended-Range Limited-Area Model Simulations with Atmospheric and Surface Nudging. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, 8621-8641, doi:10.1002/2015JD023350.    
Theriault, J. M. J, A. Milbrandt, J. Doyle, J. R. Minder, G. Thompson, N. Sarkadi, I. Geresdi, 2015: Impact of melting snow on the valley flow field and precipitation phase transition. Atmospheric Research, 156, 111-124    
Tolstykh, M.A., Geleyn, JF., Volodin, E.M. et al. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol.,2015: Development of the multiscale version of the SL-AV global atmosphere model. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol., 40, 374-382,doi:10.3103/S1068373915060035.    
Toyoda, T., Y. Fujii, T. Kuragano, N. Kosugi, D. Sasano, M. Kamachi, Y. Ishikawa, S. Masuda, K. Sato, T. Awaji, F. Hernandez, N. Ferry, S. Guinehut, M. Martin, K. A. Peterson, S. A. Good, M. Valdivieso, K. Haines, A. Storto, S. Masina, A. Kohl, Y. Yin, L. Shi, O. Alves, G. Smith, Y.-S. Chang, G. Vernieres, X. Wang, G. Forget, P.Heimbach. O. Wang, I. Fukumori, T. Lee, H. Zuo, M. Balmaseda, 2015: Interannual-decadal variability of wintertime mixed layer depths in the North Pacific detected by an ensemble of ocean syntheses. Clim Dyn, DOI 10.1007/s00382-015-2762-3    
Toyoda, T., Y. Fujii, T. Kuragano, M. Kamachi, Y. Ishikawa, S. Masuda, K. Sato, T. Awaji, F. Hernandez, N. Ferry, S. Guinehut, M. J. Martin, K. A. Peterson, S. A. Good, M. Valdivieso, K. Haines, A. Storto, S. Masina, A. Kohl, H. Zuo, M. Balmaseda, Y. Yin, L. Shi, O. Alves, G. Smith, Y.-S. Chang, G. Vernieres, X. Wang, G. Forget, P. Heimbach, O. Wang, I. Fukumori, T. Lee, 2015: Intercomparison and validation of the mixed layer depth fields of global ocean syntheses. Clim Dyn, DOI 10.1007/s00382-015-2637-7    
Tripathi,O. P., M. Baldwin, A. Charlton-Perez, M. Charron, S. D. Eckermann, E. Gerber, R. G. Harrison, D. R. Jackson, B.-M. Kim, Y. Kuroda, A. Lang, S. Mahmood, R. Mizuta, G. Roff, M. Sigmond, and S.-W. Son, 2015: The Predictability of the Extra-tropical Stratosphere on monthly timescales and its Impact on the Skill of Tropospheric Forecasts. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 141: 987-1003, April 2015 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2432    
Vionnet, V., S. Belair, C.Girard, A.Plante, 2015: Wintertime sub-kilometer numerical forecasts of near-surface variables in the Canadian Rocky Mountains. Mon.Wea.Rev., 143, 2, 666-686    
Wu, Z., J. Dou, and H. Lin, 2015: Potential influence of the November-December Southern Hemisphere annular mode on the East Asian winter precipitation: a new mechanism. Clim Dyn, 44, 1215-1226, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2241-2.    
Yang, J., W.Yu, J.Choisnard, A.Forcione, S.Antic, 2015: Coupled atmospheric-ice load model for evaluation of wind plant power loss. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 54, 1142-1161. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0125.1    
Yao, Y, H. Lin, and Q. Wu, 2015: Subseasonal variability of precipitation in China during boreal winter. J. Climate, 28, 6548-6559. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0033.1    
Yu,B., X.Zhang, H.Lin, and J.Y.Yu, 2015: Comparison of wintertime North American impacts associated with multiple ENSO indices. Atmosphere-Ocean, 53:4, 426-445, DOI: 10.1080/07055900.2015.1079697    
Zadra, A., and M. Charron, 2015: Manifestly invariant Lagrangians for geophysical fluids. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 141: 3355-3365. doi:10.1002/qj.2617    
Zhai, L., Y. Lu, S. Higginson, F. Davidson, F. Dupont, F. Roy, J. Chanut, and G.Smith, 2015: High-resolution modelling of the mean flow and meso-scale eddy variability around the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Ocean Dynamics,65,877-887, DOI 10.1007/s10236-015-0839-5    

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