Visualization of seasonal-diurnal climatology of
visibility in fog and precipitation at Canadian airports

 

16th Conference on Applied Climatology,

87th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society,

San Antonio, Texas, 14-18 January 2007

 

Authors: Bjarne Hansen, Ismail Gultepe,
Patrick King, Garry Toth, and Curtis Mooney

 

Supplementary webpage for poster presentation

 

Abstract  |  Statistics  |  Caveats  |  Interesting graphs

 

Abstract

As part of the Fog Remote Sensing and Modeling (FRAM) project (Gultepe et al. 2006), a set of graphs has been made which displays the seasonal-diurnal climatology of fog, visibility and related weather variables at 198 Canadian airports, based on records of hourly observations made during the period from 1971 to 2005 (National Climate Archive 2003). Conditional frequencies of observed variables are graphed as fields along two axes: time of day horizontally (hour UTC) and time of year vertically (month), with corresponding gridlines. For additional gridlines, local sunrise and sunset times are plotted (curved lines). Frequencies are also plotted for additional conditions such as wind direction, precipitation, cloud, and persistence (Martin 1972). Field values refer to probabilities of discrete weather events and to statistics of continuous weather variables. Additional weather variables described include: cloud ceiling, blowing snow, snow, ice pellets, freezing rain, freezing drizzle, rain, drizzle, temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and clouds. The results revealed interesting patterns in diurnal and seasonal variation of visibility. In the marine environment, in Atlantic Canada, the maximum probability of fog is about 35% and is likely mostly due to warm air advection (sea fog). Inland, in Ontario, the maximum probability of fog is about 10% and its occurrence is likely due to a combination of advection and precipitation effects related to frontal systems and radiative cooling. Farther inland, in the Prairies, the maximum probability of fog is about 5% and is likely mostly due to radiative cooling. It is concluded that the patterns found were both site-specific and regionally coherent.

 

fog, cloud ceiling, thunderstorm, blowing snow,

IFR, BLO ALT, BLO LIMITS,

precipitation (any type),

snow or snow shower, snow, snow shower, ice pellets,

freezing precipitation (drizzle or rain), freezing drizzle, freezing rain,

rain or rain shower, rain, rain shower, drizzle,

temperature average, maximum, minimum,

dew point temperature average, maximum, minimum,

spread average,

wind speed average, maximum,

pressure average (slp)

 

Statistics

Each graphed point summarizes the statistics of one UTC hour of one Julian day, which gives a total of 8784 points plotted per graph. Each point is based on 31-day-running statistics for 35 year's worth data (1971-2005, or less in a few cases where station records are shorter). Thus, most points summarize 1085 pieces of data (31 x 35). Without applying a running statistic, we would obtain spiky graphs (e.g., March 1 might have 3/34 "hits", and the days before and after might each have none). The running statistic smooths out such spikes, and retains and reveals coherent patterns, such as maxima and minima. For discrete events, 31-day-running average probability is plotted. For continuous variables, three types of running statistic are plotted: 1) 31-day-running average value, simply an average of all days' data +/- 15 days of the date in question; 2) 31-day-running maximum value, the maximum of all days' values +/- 15 days of the date in question; and 3) 31-day-running minimum value, the minimum of all days' values +/- 15 days of the date in question.

Caveats

The graphs should be regarded as suggestive and not as definitive. Please use meteorological discretion in interpreting them. The data that they are based on have undergone quality control; however, they still contain known flaws. For example:

1.     Some airports stop making routine observations during "off-hours" at night, or switch to making of incomplete automated observations. Therefore, not all actual discrete weather events (e.g., fog, ceiling, thunderstorm, blowing snow, precipitation) are observed and recorded in the data. As a result, some graphs will display artificial discontinuities, or gaps. If you click on the asterisk beside a station's name, you will see a graph of the number (N) of observations (positive and negative) that were used in compiling statistics, and may thereby gain a sense of whether any such discontinuity is artificial. In most cases, these gaps are fairly obvious and will appear as rectangular blackout periods for off-hours periods.

2.     Records for all the major airports and for most of the other airports (>90%) are at least 99% complete for the period 1971 to 2004. However, for some of the other airports records exist for only a fraction of this period. You can see how many records were used for statistics in the graphs of N.

3.     If no positive observations of a weather event exist during a station's entire record for any day or time (e.g., thunder at Alert, or blowing snow at Vancouver), then the entire graph appears blank (white).

4.     If no statistics exist for particular days and hours due to complete lack of observations (positive or negative), then the area of the graph for these times appears blank.

5.     If relatively few statistics exist for particular days and hours due to a relatively low number of observations (positive or negative), then the area of the graph for this time will appear noisy (small areas of various colours intermixed).

6.     During the period of record the making of observations has become increasingly automated. Therefore, the data is inhomogeneous over time.

Interesting graphs

Each of the following graphs shows something interesting in the climatology of a particular airport.

Each of the following graphs shows something interesting in the climatology of a particular airport.

·       In Montreal, Quebec, the sunniest months are July and August and the cloudiest month is November.

·       There is very little diurnal temperature variation in the high arctic region of Canada compared to the variation in southern regions. For example, compare Alert, Nunavut with Winnipeg, Manitoba.

·       In St. John's, Newfoundland there is a marked diurnal trend in freezing precipitation, with probability dropping after sunrise. The trend is more evident for freezing drizzle than for freezing rain.

·       It rains more in Vancouver than in Toronto, and it snows more in Toronto than in Vancouver. The difference in climatology of precipitation, rain and snow combined, between the cities is less pronounced than for either rain or snow considered separately: the probabilities during peak periods are similar; Toronto has a longer dry period during the summer than Vancouver.

·       In Thunder Bay, Ontario the peak in thunder probability is in July in the late afternoon and early evening.

·       In central northern Quebec in La Grande IV there is precipitation about 60% of the time in November, partly due to convection over the still-open Hudson Bay steaming southeastward.

·       Bimodal average wind speed fields are quite common, with peaks during the spring and fall daytimes.

·       At Sable Island, gales are rare in July.

·       At Sable Island, there is a solar atmospheric tide, two daily peaks in average atmospheric pressure.

·       In Vancouver, there are four annual peaks in average atmospheric pressure.

Fog climatology graphs

·       In Halifax, NS, the foggiest time of year is June and July with on average 15 days with fog in June and 18 days in July (Phillips 1990). However, this fog usually dissipates by 9 am (local daylight savings time, 1200 UTC) in the city at CYAW. The dissipation is earlier farther inland at CYHZ and later offshore at CWSA. This fog is mainly due to advection and partly due to radiation.

·       The peak probability for fog in the Quebec City area is during the two hours after sunrise during the months from April to November. At Quebec, the probability ranges between 2 and 3%. At Valcartier, 15 km northwest of Quebec, the probability ranges between 3 and 8%.

·       Multimodal fog probability in Toronto, Ontario, is due to a combination of factors (advection, radiation, and precipitation).

·       In Calgary, Alberta, the peak probability for "below landing limits" flying conditions is about 3% and occurs during the hours before and just after sunrise in March. These conditions are usually due to fog.

·       The peak probability for fog in southwestern BC is near sunrise during the months from August through October. In Tofino, on the exposed western coast of Vancouver Island, the peak probability is about 25% and it occurs in August. In Vancouver, 190 km east of Tofino, on the lower BC mainland, the peak probability is about 8% and it occurs in October.

·       In Whitehorse, Yukon Territory, the peak time for fog is in January near sunrise. This fog is ice fog in nature, consistent with minimum temperatures around that time dipping down to -40°C.

·       In Resolute, Nunavut, fog is most frequent in July and August, coincident with the open-water season and the highest average temperatures and highest maximum temperatures, conditions conducive to formation of advection fog. Compared to fog patterns in southern locations, the seasonal peak is narrow and the diurnal peak is broad.

 

If you see anything interesting in any graph that is not posted here, please contact me and we could add it to the list.

 

Bjarne Hansen

 

Cloud Physics and Severe Weather Research Section

Meteorological Research Division

Science and Technology Branch

Environment Canada

2121 Trans-Canada Highway, Dorval, Quebec  H9P 1J3, Canada

E-mail: bjarne.hansen@ec.gc.ca

References

Fisk, Charles J., 2004: Two-way (Hour-Month) Time Section Plots as a Tool for Climatological Visualization and Summarization, 14th Conference on Applied Climatology, American Meteorological Society, 11-15 January 2004, Seattle, Washington.

Gultepe, Ismail, S. G. Cober, G. A. Isaac, D. Hudak, P. King, P. Taylor, M. Gordon, P. Rodriguez, B. Hansen, and M. Jacob, 2006: The Fog Remote Sensing and Modeling (FRAM) field project and preliminary results, 12th Conference on Cloud Physics, American Meteorological Society, 10-14 July 2006, Madison, Wisconsin.

Martin, Donald E., 1972: Climatic Presentations for Short-Range Forecasting Based on Event Occurrence and Reoccurrence Profiles, Journal of Applied Meteorology, 11, 1212-1223.

National Climate Archive, Documentation for the Digital Archive of Canadian Climatological Data, Environment Canada, 2003.

Phillips, David, 1990: The Climates Of Canada, Environment Canada, Downsview, Ontario.

Data visualization tools

gnuplot, IDL, ploticus, Generic Mapping Tools

 

 

Webpage last edited 31 July 2006.